This tracker uses only hard, sourced costs — direct federal military spending and verified gas price data. It does not include broader economic impact estimates, which are significantly higher but harder to pin down precisely.
Penn Wharton Budget Model · Apr 1, 2026
Epic Fury costs modeled in four phases: Phase 1 (Days 1–6, ~$2.1B/day), Phase 2 (Days 7–24, ~$601M/day), Phase 3 (Days 25–32, ~$500M/day), Phase 4 (Apr 1+, ~$500M/day base case). Cumulative through Mar 31: $27.5B.
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CSIS · Cancian & Park · Jan 20, 2026
Operation Southern Spear estimated at $31M/day. Equipment damage in Epic Fury detailed in Table 4 (Mar 13, 2026): F-15Es, KC-135, THAAD radar, Reapers, infrastructure — $2.34B total.
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EIA Weekly Gas Price Data
Gas cost increase calculated weekly: (weekly price − $2.94 baseline) × 376M gallons/day × 7. Baseline = national average Feb 28, 2026. Last entry: $4.12/gal (week of Apr 6).
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Brown University Costs of War Project
Operation Midnight Hammer (Jun 22, 2025) estimated at $2.04B–$2.26B. Midpoint $2.15B used.
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Pentagon DCAS · April 8, 2026
Casualty figures from the Defense Casualty Analysis System — the DoD's official, verified repository. Epic Fury: 13 KIA, 372 WIA (DCAS official; CENTCOM separately reported 381 to press on same date — DCAS used as authoritative). Southern Spear: 1 KIA (non-combat). Absolute Resolve: 0 KIA, 7 WIA.
Opportunity cost data
Daycare: $142.2B/year total national cost (Child Care Aware of America, 2024). Medicaid: $931.7B/year (CMS NHE Accounts, 2024). Medicare: $1,122.1B/year (CMS NHE Accounts, 2024).
Troop deployment estimates
Epic Fury: ~40,000 troops per WarCosts.org, corroborated by the deployment of two carrier strike groups, B-2/B-52 air wings, and CENTCOM ground support. Southern Spear: ~15,000 personnel per The Soufan Center (Nov 14, 2025) and CSIS. Figures are open-source estimates — exact numbers are classified. Midnight Hammer excluded as a completed one-time strike. Range of 50K–60K reflects rounding and fleet crew variability.